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Panel Cointegration with Global Stochastic Trends

机译:面板与全球随机趋势的协整

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摘要

This paper studies estimation of panel cointegration models withcross-sectional dependence generated by unobserved global stochastic trends.The standard least squares estimator is, in general, inconsistent owing to thespuriousness induced by the unobservable I(1) trends. We propose two iterativeprocedures that jointly estimate the slope parameters and the stochastictrends. The resulting estimators are referred to respectively as CupBC(continuously-updated and bias-corrected) and the CupFM (continuously-updatedand fully-modified) estimators. We establish their consistency and derive theirlimiting distributions. Both are asymptotically unbiased and asymptoticallymixed normal and permit inference to be conducted using standard teststatistics. The estimators are also valid when there are mixed stationary andnon-stationary factors, as well as when the factors are all stationary.
机译:本文研究了由未观察到的全球随机趋势产生的具有横截面依赖性的面板协整模型的估计。通常,由于不可观察的I(1)趋势引起的虚假性,标准最小二乘估计量是不一致的。我们提出了两个迭代过程,共同估计坡度参数和随机趋势。所得的估计器分别称为CupBC(连续更新和偏差校正)和CupFM(连续更新和完全修改)估计器。我们建立它们的一致性并导出它们的极限分布。两者均为渐近无偏和渐近混合法线,并允许使用标准检验统计量进行推断。当存在混合的平稳和非平稳因素时,以及当这些因素都是平稳时,估计量也有效。

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